J1 LeagueMatchday 3
Machida 3-1 Urawa Reds: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- MUFG Stadium, Tokyo
- Referee:
- Hiroki Kasahara
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.548%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Machida1:0Urawa RedsW
- Urawa Reds1:2MachidaW
- Urawa Reds0:0MachidaD
- Machida0:2Urawa RedsL
- Machida2:2Urawa RedsD
Machida's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 1
RefereeH. Kasahara+0.4 cards vs average10 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Machida : Urawa RedsMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-09%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Machida win | 51%45% · Elo 54% | 45%· Elo 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 25% | 28%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Urawa Reds win | 22%28% · Elo 21% | 28%· Elo 21% |
Attack vs defence
Machida attack vs Urawa Reds defenceattack1530defence1519+11 pts to the attack
Urawa Reds attack vs Machida defenceattack1500defence1571−71 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Machida concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Machida: unbeaten in 13 matches
- Machida concede a lot late on: 8 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Machida: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Urawa Reds: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Machida | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Machida vs Urawa Reds?
Machida 3-1 Urawa Reds (half time 1-1).