J1 LeagueMatchday 1

Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Referee:
Yuzo Sutani

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost64%

referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost37%

referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNagoya Grampus160746%46%Draw27%27%Shimizu S-Pulse157127%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shimizu S-Pulse0:2Nagoya GrampusW
  2. Nagoya Grampus1:0Shimizu S-PulseW
  3. Nagoya Grampus1:1Shimizu S-PulseD
  4. Shimizu S-Pulse0:3Nagoya GrampusW
  5. Nagoya Grampus0:2Shimizu S-PulseL
Nagoya Grampus's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.5under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 20
Cardsleague cards2.2league 2.6under 2.5: 64%Expected cards: 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 3
RefereeY. Sutani−1.2 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Nagoya Grampus : Shimizu S-Pulse
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-07%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%71%71%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals71%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes55%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals49%51%51%
1 – Nagoya Grampus win46%44% · Elo 46%44%· Elo 46%
Both teams to score: no45%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals29%27%27%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
2 – Shimizu S-Pulse win27%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Shimizu S-Pulse defenceattack1513defence1471+42 pts to the attack
Shimizu S-Pulse attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1451defence1466−15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shimizu S-Pulse: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Nagoya Grampus concede a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.

League form

Nagoya Grampus

No matches played this season yet.

Shimizu S-Pulse

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Shimizu S-Pulse94148:913
15Nagoya Grampus93069:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse (half time 0-1).

Did the Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.