J1 LeagueMatchday 3

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Vissel Kobe: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 22 August · 11:30

Yokohama F. Marinos

3-4 1-0

1-0Full time(half time 1-0)

Vissel Kobe

2-2 1-0

Stadium:: Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Referee:: Akihiko Ikeuchi

The match in numbers

1X2EloYokohama F. Marinos168437%33%Draw29%28%Vissel Kobe173934%39%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%55%O2.546%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

30/08/202530/08/25Vissel Kobe1:0Yokohama F. MarinosL
21/05/202521/05/25Yokohama F. Marinos1:2Vissel KobeL
11/08/202411/08/24Yokohama F. Marinos1:2Vissel KobeL
07/04/202407/04/24Vissel Kobe1:2Yokohama F. MarinosW
29/09/202329/09/23Yokohama F. Marinos0:2Vissel KobeL

Yokohama F. Marinos's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8

Cardsleague cards2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 54%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 6

RefereeA. Ikeuchi+0.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7

Yokohama F. Marinos : Vissel Kobe

Most likely scores

Market1-114%1-010%0-09%0-19%1-2—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-07%0-19%1-29%2-18%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-09%0-00-09%0-07%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-2—1-29%2-12-18%2-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	76%72%	72%
Over 1.5 goals	72%75%	75%
12 – no draw	71%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	66%61%	61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	63%65%	65%
Under 2.5 goals	54%50%	50%
Both teams to score: yes	52%55%	55%
Both teams to score: no	48%45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	46%51%	51%
1 – Yokohama F. Marinos win	37%35% · Elo 33%	35%· Elo 33%
2 – Vissel Kobe win	34%39% · Elo 39%	39%· Elo 39%
X – draw	29%27% · Elo 28%	27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	28%25%	25%
Over 3.5 goals	24%28%	28%

Attack vs defence

Yokohama F. Marinos attack vs Vissel Kobe defenceattack1540defence1569−29 pts to the attack

Vissel Kobe attack vs Yokohama F. Marinos defenceattack1546defence1466+80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Yokohama F. Marinos concede a lot late on: 12 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Yokohama F. Marinos: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Vissel Kobe: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

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