Eerste DivisieMatchday 4

Den Bosch 1-4 Vitesse: prediction, tips and result

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1-4Full time(half time 0-3)
Stadium:
Stadion de Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Referee:
Martin Perez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won69%

referee Martin Perez averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.8 cards against a league average of 3.3

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost47%

referee Martin Perez averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.8 cards against a league average of 3.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDen Bosch124337%36%Draw23%26%Vitesse133240%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.568%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Den Bosch2:0VitesseW
  2. Vitesse1:2Den BoschW
  3. Vitesse3:1Den BoschL
  4. Den Bosch4:2VitesseW
  5. Den Bosch1:2VitesseL
Den Bosch's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.6under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards2.8league 3.3under 3.5: 69%Expected cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Perez−1.1 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.1
Den Bosch : Vitesse
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—1-35%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%82%82%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes69%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals68%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals53%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals47%38%38%
2 – Vitesse win40%34% · Elo 38%34%· Elo 38%
1 – Den Bosch win37%41% · Elo 36%41%· Elo 36%
Under 2.5 goals32%39%39%
Both teams to score: no31%37%37%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Den Bosch attack vs Vitesse defenceattack1505defence1530−25 pts to the attack
Vitesse attack vs Den Bosch defenceattack1508defence1466+42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Vitesse1042415:1514
14Den Bosch1032514:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Den Bosch vs Vitesse?

Den Bosch 1-4 Vitesse (half time 0-3).

Did the Den Bosch vs Vitesse tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.