Eerste DivisieMatchday 2
Graafschap 2-5 Jong AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
- Referee:
- Laurens Gerrets
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost8%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%67%O2.572%69%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Graafschap5:0Jong AZ AlkmaarW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar1:3GraafschapW
- Graafschap5:1Jong AZ AlkmaarW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar2:2GraafschapD
- Graafschap2:1Jong AZ AlkmaarW
Graafschap's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.7over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.3under 3.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 7
RefereeL. Gerrets−0.3 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.7total 3.8Attack/defence2.2 : 1.4total 3.6
Graafschap : Jong AZ AlkmaarMost likely scores
Market2-18%1-19%2-27%1-27%3-16%2-0—1-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-19%2-26%1-2—3-17%2-07%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%1-11-19%1-19%2-22-27%2-26%1-21-27%1-2—3-13-16%3-17%2-02-0—2-07%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%79% | 79% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Graafschap win | 46%56% · Elo 56% | 56%· Elo 56% |
| 2 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win | 31%23% · Elo 21% | 23%· Elo 21% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 28%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 22%21% · Elo 23% | 21%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Graafschap attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1581defence1445+136 pts to the attack
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs Graafschap defenceattack1517defence1512+5 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Jong AZ Alkmaar concede 2.0 goals per game
- Graafschap: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Jong AZ Alkmaar: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Graafschap
Jong AZ Alkmaar
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Graafschap 2-5 Jong AZ Alkmaar (half time 1-1).
Did the Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.