Eerste DivisieMatchday 3

Helmond 1-1 Waalwijk: prediction, tips and result

·

1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
SolarUnie Stadion, Helmond
Referee:
Thomas Hardeman

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won58%

our numbers: 10.0 corners against a league average of 10.7

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won46%

our numbers: 10.0 corners against a league average of 10.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHelmond119123%22%Draw25%23%Waalwijk138952%55%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%58%O2.556%55%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Helmond2:2WaalwijkD
  2. Waalwijk1:1HelmondD
  3. Waalwijk2:1HelmondL
  4. Helmond0:2WaalwijkL
  5. Helmond2:2WaalwijkD
Helmond's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.7under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeT. Hardeman+0.2 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.6total 2.9
Helmond : Waalwijk
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%2-1—1-0—0-06%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-27%2-18%1-07%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-29%0-27%2-12-1—2-18%1-01-0—1-07%0-00-06%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%78%78%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%68%68%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals56%55%55%
2 – Waalwijk win52%43% · Elo 55%43%· Elo 55%
1X – home team avoid defeat48%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals44%45%45%
Both teams to score: no43%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals33%32%32%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
1 – Helmond win23%32% · Elo 22%32%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Helmond attack vs Waalwijk defenceattack1389defence1545−156 pts to the attack
Waalwijk attack vs Helmond defenceattack1579defence1515+64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waalwijk score 2.4 goals per game
  • Waalwijk: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Helmond: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Helmond score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Helmond matches average only 8.1 corners (league 10.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Waalwijk matches average only 8.4 corners (league 10.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Helmond: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Waalwijk: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Waalwijk1035219:1514
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Helmond vs Waalwijk?

Helmond 1-1 Waalwijk (half time 1-0).

Did the Helmond vs Waalwijk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.