Eerste DivisieMatchday 4

Jong AZ Alkmaar 1-2 MVV Maastricht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar
Referee:
Thomas Hardeman

The match in numbers

1X2EloJong AZ Alkmaar128149%49%Draw24%25%MVV Maastricht119327%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%64%O2.569%65%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong AZ Alkmaar1:1MVV MaastrichtD
  2. MVV Maastricht1:3Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  3. MVV Maastricht0:1Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  4. Jong AZ Alkmaar2:3MVV MaastrichtL
  5. Jong AZ Alkmaar2:3MVV MaastrichtL
Jong AZ Alkmaar's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeT. Hardeman+0.3 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence2.0 : 1.3total 3.4
Jong AZ Alkmaar : MVV Maastricht
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%2-0—2-27%1-27%1-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-07%2-26%1-2—1-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-26%1-21-27%1-2—1-01-0—1-07%3-13-16%3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%85%85%
12 – no draw76%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals69%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes68%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals53%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%47%47%
1 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win49%53% · Elo 49%53%· Elo 49%
Over 3.5 goals47%43%43%
Both teams to score: no32%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals31%35%35%
2 – MVV Maastricht win27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
X – draw24%22% · Elo 25%22%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals13%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs MVV Maastricht defenceattack1530defence1450+80 pts to the attack
MVV Maastricht attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1420defence1447−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • MVV Maastricht: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7MVV Maastricht1051413:2016
11Jong AZ Alkmaar1041522:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jong AZ Alkmaar vs MVV Maastricht?

Jong AZ Alkmaar 1-2 MVV Maastricht (half time 0-1).