Eerste DivisieMatchday 4

Oss 2-1 Utrecht: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Referee:
Wouter Wiersma

The match in numbers

1X2EloOss123245%47%Draw26%25%Utrecht117329%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%59%O2.557%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Oss3:1UtrechtW
  2. Utrecht0:0OssD
  3. Utrecht1:1OssD
  4. Oss1:1UtrechtD
  5. Utrecht0:3OssW
Oss's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.3over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 2
RefereeW. Wiersma+1.5 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Oss : Utrecht
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-27%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals66%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes60%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals57%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%57%57%
1 – Oss win45%43% · Elo 47%43%· Elo 47%
Under 2.5 goals43%44%44%
Both teams to score: no40%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals34%34%34%
2 – Utrecht win29%32% · Elo 28%32%· Elo 28%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals20%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Oss attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1396defence1447−51 pts to the attack
Utrecht attack vs Oss defenceattack1427defence1451−24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Utrecht concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Oss: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Oss: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Oss: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Utrecht: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Oss1040615:1512
20Utrecht1021716:237
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Oss vs Utrecht?

Oss 2-1 Utrecht (half time 1-0).