Eerste DivisieMatchday 5

Waalwijk 4-2 NAC Breda: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Referee:
Dennis John Higler

The match in numbers

1X2EloWaalwijk138933%39%Draw25%26%NAC Breda141342%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.562%62%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Waalwijk5:0NAC BredaW
  2. NAC Breda4:1WaalwijkL
  3. NAC Breda2:3WaalwijkW
  4. Waalwijk2:4NAC BredaL
  5. NAC Breda1:1WaalwijkD
Waalwijk's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeD. John Higler−0.5 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Waalwijk : NAC Breda
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—2-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%2-06%0-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%0-10-16%0-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%83%83%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes64%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals62%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals60%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%67%67%
2 – NAC Breda win42%33% · Elo 35%33%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals40%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals38%38%38%
Both teams to score: no36%37%37%
1 – Waalwijk win33%43% · Elo 39%43%· Elo 39%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Waalwijk attack vs NAC Breda defenceattack1565defence1589−24 pts to the attack
NAC Breda attack vs Waalwijk defenceattack1572defence1551+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waalwijk score 2.3 goals per game
  • Waalwijk: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Waalwijk matches average only 8.3 corners (league 10.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • NAC Breda: newly promoted
  • Waalwijk: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • NAC Breda: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5NAC Breda1052320:1917
9Waalwijk1035219:1514
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?

Waalwijk 4-2 NAC Breda (half time 1-0).