EredivisieMatchday 2
Ajax 2-2 Heerenveen: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
- Referee:
- Alex Bos
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.568%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Heerenveen0:0AjaxD
- Ajax1:1HeerenveenD
- Heerenveen0:2AjaxW
- Ajax1:0HeerenveenW
- Heerenveen3:2AjaxL
Ajax's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Bos−0.1 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.1total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Ajax : HeerenveenMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-110%1-0—2-09%3-18%3-07%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%3-0—1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-18%3-16%3-03-07%3-0—1-21-2—1-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Ajax win | 66%55% · Elo 61% | 55%· Elo 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%43% | 43% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 33%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 18%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Heerenveen win | 15%22% · Elo 16% | 22%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Ajax attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1549defence1481+68 pts to the attack
Heerenveen attack vs Ajax defenceattack1506defence1595−89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ajax concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Ajax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Heerenveen: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Ajax
Heerenveen
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ajax vs Heerenveen?
Ajax 2-2 Heerenveen (half time 2-1).