EredivisieMatchday 4

AZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead Eagles: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Referee:
Alex Bos

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Match Result: AZ AlkmaarWon73%

    AZ Alkmaar: 3 league wins in a row

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAZ Alkmaar174773%60%Draw15%24%Go Ahead Eagles159312%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%60%O2.572%63%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Go Ahead Eagles0:0AZ AlkmaarD
  2. AZ Alkmaar2:2Go Ahead EaglesD
  3. Go Ahead Eagles0:3AZ AlkmaarW
  4. AZ Alkmaar2:2Go Ahead EaglesD
  5. Go Ahead Eagles0:3AZ AlkmaarW
AZ Alkmaar's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.4over 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Bos−0.1 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.0total 3.7Attack/defence2.1 : 1.2total 3.2
AZ Alkmaar : Go Ahead Eagles
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-19%2-09%3-18%3-08%1-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%3-17%3-06%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-08%3-06%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat88%79%79%
12 – no draw85%78%78%
1 – AZ Alkmaar win73%57% · Elo 60%57%· Elo 60%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals72%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes60%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals51%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals49%60%60%
Both teams to score: no40%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals28%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%43%43%
X – draw15%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
2 – Go Ahead Eagles win12%21% · Elo 17%21%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
AZ Alkmaar attack vs Go Ahead Eagles defenceattack1566defence1460+106 pts to the attack
Go Ahead Eagles attack vs AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1510defence1581−71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Go Ahead Eagles matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • AZ Alkmaar matches average 12.6 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • AZ Alkmaar: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3AZ Alkmaar861118:819
8Go Ahead Eagles825119:1711
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

AZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead Eagles (half time 2-1).

Did the AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.