EredivisieMatchday 3

PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen: prediction, tips and result

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5-1Full time(half time 3-1)
Stadium:
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Referee:
Allard Lindhout

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won57%

our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won71%

    referee Allard Lindhout averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.7 cards against a league average of 3.2

  • Match Result: PSV EindhovenWon76%

    PSV Eindhoven: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPSV Eindhoven196176%78%Draw14%14%Groningen162510%8%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.576%65%|exp. goals 2.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Groningen1:2PSV EindhovenW
  2. PSV Eindhoven4:2GroningenW
  3. Groningen1:3PSV EindhovenW
  4. PSV Eindhoven5:0GroningenW
  5. PSV Eindhoven6:0GroningenW
PSV Eindhoven's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards2.7league 3.2under 3.5: 71%Expected cards: 2.7 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Lindhout−0.8 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.0 : 1.1total 4.1Attack/defence2.3 : 1.1total 3.3
PSV Eindhoven : Groningen
Most likely scores
Market2-18%2-08%1-1—3-18%3-08%1-0—4-16%Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-19%3-17%3-07%1-08%4-1—
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%1-11-1—1-19%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-08%3-07%1-01-0—1-08%4-14-16%4-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals91%85%85%
1X – home team avoid defeat90%84%84%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
1 – PSV Eindhoven win76%64% · Elo 78%64%· Elo 78%
Over 2.5 goals76%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%59%59%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals57%43%43%
Under 3.5 goals43%57%57%
Both teams to score: no38%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals24%36%36%
X – draw14%20% · Elo 14%20%· Elo 14%
2 – Groningen win10%17% · Elo 8%17%· Elo 8%
Under 1.5 goals9%15%15%
Attack vs defence
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Groningen defenceattack1701defence1532+169 pts to the attack
Groningen attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1485defence1596−111 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 goals per game
  • Groningen matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • PSV Eindhoven: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • PSV Eindhoven: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Groningen: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PSV Eindhoven861126:1019
6Groningen842220:1414
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen (half time 3-1).

Did the PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.