EredivisieMatchday 6

Twente 2-0 Den Haag: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Grolsch Veste Stadium, Enschede
Referee:
Jannick van der Laan

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost59%

2.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.0 in the visitors', league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost73%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

  • Match Result: TwenteWon79%

    Den Haag: winless in their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost38%

2.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.0 in the visitors', league average 3.2; under 2.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (38% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTwente174779%72%Draw13%18%Den Haag14529%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.573%62%|exp. goals 2.3 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Twente3:2Den HaagW
  2. Den Haag2:4TwenteW
  3. Den Haag0:0TwenteD
  4. Den Haag2:1TwenteL
  5. Twente2:3Den HaagL
Twente's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.2under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. van der Laan+0.5 cards vs average35 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.9total 3.8Attack/defence2.3 : 0.9total 3.2
Twente : Den Haag
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-18%1-0—3-09%1-1—3-18%4-07%Attack/defence2-011%2-110%1-09%3-08%1-19%3-17%4-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-011%2-12-18%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%3-03-09%3-08%1-11-1—1-19%3-13-18%3-17%4-04-07%4-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat92%87%87%
Over 1.5 goals90%83%83%
12 – no draw88%81%81%
1 – Twente win79%68% · Elo 72%68%· Elo 72%
Over 2.5 goals73%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes55%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals52%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals48%60%60%
Both teams to score: no45%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals27%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat22%32%32%
X – draw13%19% · Elo 18%19%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals10%17%17%
2 – Den Haag win9%13% · Elo 10%13%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Twente attack vs Den Haag defenceattack1570defence1419+151 pts to the attack
Den Haag attack vs Twente defenceattack1386defence1613−227 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Twente matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Den Haag: newly promoted
  • Twente played 3 days ago
  • Den Haag: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Twente852116:817
17Den Haag80359:193
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Twente vs Den Haag?

Twente 2-0 Den Haag (half time 0-0).

Did the Twente vs Den Haag tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.