EredivisieMatchday 2

Twente 3-1 Zwolle: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Grolsch Veste Stadium, Enschede
Referee:
Allard Lindhout

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won69%

referee Allard Lindhout averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.3

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won69%

    our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won48%

referee Allard Lindhout averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.8 cards against a league average of 3.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTwente174776%66%Draw14%21%Zwolle148610%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.569%59%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Twente1:1ZwolleD
  2. Zwolle1:0TwenteL
  3. Zwolle1:1TwenteD
  4. Twente1:1ZwolleD
  5. Zwolle1:2TwenteW
Twente's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.8league 3.3under 3.5: 69%Expected cards: 2.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Lindhout−0.7 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.9total 3.6Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.1
Twente : Zwolle
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-19%1-07%1-1—3-09%3-18%Attack/defence2-011%2-110%1-010%1-110%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-011%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-010%1-11-1—1-110%3-03-09%3-08%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%85%85%
Over 1.5 goals87%81%81%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
1 – Twente win76%65% · Elo 66%65%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals69%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes54%53%53%
Under 3.5 goals53%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals47%37%37%
Both teams to score: no46%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals31%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%35%35%
X – draw14%20% · Elo 21%20%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals13%19%19%
2 – Zwolle win10%15% · Elo 13%15%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Twente attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1568defence1422+146 pts to the attack
Zwolle attack vs Twente defenceattack1405defence1591−186 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Twente: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Zwolle: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Twente852116:817
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Twente vs Zwolle?

Twente 3-1 Zwolle (half time 1-1).

Did the Twente vs Zwolle tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.