EliteserienMatchday 16

Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Referee:
Mischa Kellerhals

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won60%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 3.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won38%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFredrikstad160741%42%Draw27%26%Sandefjord160632%32%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.555%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sandefjord1:1FredrikstadD
  2. Sandefjord0:0FredrikstadD
  3. Fredrikstad3:1SandefjordW
  4. Sandefjord0:1FredrikstadW
  5. Fredrikstad1:0SandefjordW
Fredrikstad's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.6over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Kellerhals−1.9 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Fredrikstad : Sandefjord
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-08%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals67%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals55%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals45%51%51%
1 – Fredrikstad win41%40% · Elo 42%40%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals33%27%27%
2 – Sandefjord win32%33% · Elo 32%33%· Elo 32%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Fredrikstad attack vs Sandefjord defenceattack1407defence1506−99 pts to the attack
Sandefjord attack vs Fredrikstad defenceattack1495defence1501−6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Fredrikstad2285926:3329
12Sandefjord22661022:2824
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord (half time 1-0).

Did the Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.