EliteserienMatchday 15

Sandefjord 0-3 Bodo/Glimt: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Release Arena, Sandefjord
Referee:
Marius Lien

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won64%

our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5; referee Marius Lien averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.5

Other tips

  • Match Result: Bodo/GlimtWon71%

    Bodo/Glimt: won 8 of their last 10 league matches; won 4 of their last 7 league matches away

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost60%

    Sandefjord: scored in each of their last 8 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost43%

referee Marius Lien averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSandefjord160312%14%Draw16%19%Bodo/Glimt195271%67%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%62%O2.571%63%|exp. goals 1.3 : 2.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sandefjord1:2Bodo/GlimtL
  2. Bodo/Glimt2:0SandefjordL
  3. Sandefjord2:1Bodo/GlimtW
  4. Bodo/Glimt1:1SandefjordD
  5. Bodo/Glimt4:3SandefjordL
Sandefjord's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.5over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.5under 3.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Lien−1.4 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.6total 3.6Attack/defence1.3 : 2.0total 3.2
Sandefjord : Bodo/Glimt
Most likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%0-29%1-38%0-38%0-1—2-1—Attack/defence1-110%1-210%0-28%1-36%0-3—0-17%2-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%1-21-29%1-210%0-20-29%0-28%1-31-38%1-36%0-30-38%0-3—0-10-1—0-17%2-12-1—2-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
X2 – away team avoid defeat87%75%75%
12 – no draw83%77%77%
2 – Bodo/Glimt win71%53% · Elo 67%53%· Elo 67%
Over 2.5 goals71%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes60%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals50%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals50%60%60%
Both teams to score: no40%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals29%37%37%
1X – home team avoid defeat28%47%47%
X – draw16%23% · Elo 19%23%· Elo 19%
1 – Sandefjord win12%25% · Elo 14%25%· Elo 14%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Sandefjord attack vs Bodo/Glimt defenceattack1503defence1650−147 pts to the attack
Bodo/Glimt attack vs Sandefjord defenceattack1748defence1509+239 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bodo/Glimt score 2.7 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Bodo/Glimt concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Sandefjord: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bodo/Glimt: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bodo/Glimt22172356:2053
12Sandefjord22661022:2824
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

Sandefjord 0-3 Bodo/Glimt (half time 0-1).

Did the Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.