EliteserienMatchday 16

Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Aker Stadion, Molde
Referee:
Stian Rovig Sletner

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost57%

referee Stian Rovig Sletner averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.6

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%

referee Stian Rovig Sletner averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMolde168758%53%Draw21%24%Sarpsborg 08159320%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%57%O2.567%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sarpsborg 082:1MoldeL
  2. Sarpsborg 081:0MoldeL
  3. Molde0:2Sarpsborg 08L
  4. Sarpsborg 082:2MoldeD
  5. Molde2:4Sarpsborg 08L
Molde's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.6under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.6over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 2
RefereeS. Rovig Sletner+1.8 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Molde : Sarpsborg 08
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%1-06%2-08%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-06%1-09%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%78%78%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals67%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes64%57%57%
1 – Molde win58%55% · Elo 53%55%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals55%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals45%34%34%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%45%45%
Both teams to score: no36%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals33%43%43%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
2 – Sarpsborg 08 win20%22% · Elo 23%22%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals14%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Molde attack vs Sarpsborg 08 defenceattack1553defence1495+58 pts to the attack
Sarpsborg 08 attack vs Molde defenceattack1473defence1546−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Molde22114746:3437
9Sarpsborg 082277828:3128
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 (half time 1-1).

Did the Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.