EliteserienMatchday 17

Start 0-1 Fredrikstad: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sparebanken Sor Arena, Kristiansand
Referee:
Marius Lien

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won61%

referee Marius Lien averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 3.6

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won55%

    9.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 10.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won39%

referee Marius Lien averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStart147244%34%Draw27%26%Fredrikstad160429%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.556%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fredrikstad2:1StartL
  2. Fredrikstad1:1StartD
  3. Start3:2FredrikstadW
  4. Start1:0FredrikstadW
  5. Fredrikstad1:0StartL
Start's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.6under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 0
RefereeM. Lien−1.3 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Start : Fredrikstad
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-1—1-27%0-0—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-07%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-27%1-28%0-00-0—0-07%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals67%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals56%50%50%
1 – Start win44%39% · Elo 34%39%· Elo 34%
Under 2.5 goals44%50%50%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals33%27%27%
2 – Fredrikstad win29%35% · Elo 40%35%· Elo 40%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Start attack vs Fredrikstad defenceattack1396defence1512−116 pts to the attack
Fredrikstad attack vs Start defenceattack1404defence1402+2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Start concede 2.7 goals per game
  • Start: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Start: newly promoted
  • Start: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Fredrikstad: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Fredrikstad2285926:3329
16Start22441424:4816
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Start vs Fredrikstad?

Start 0-1 Fredrikstad (half time 0-1).

Did the Start vs Fredrikstad tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.