1. LigaMatchday 10

LKS Lodz 0-2 Ruch: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion LKS, Lodz

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – LKS Lodz (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost73%

LKS Lodz: 1.4 card points a match, Ruch's opponents collected 1.3 card points on average, league average 2.0; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

For the brave
Cards – LKS Lodz (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost47%

LKS Lodz: under 1.5 card points in 5 of their last 9 league matches, Ruch's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 7 of 9 (42% of league matches); 1.4 card points a match, Ruch's opponents collected 1.3 card points on average, league average 2.0; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLKS Lodz139238%43%Draw28%28%Ruch138834%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%57%O2.549%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. LKS Lodz2:2RuchD
  2. Ruch2:1LKS LodzL
  3. Ruch1:3LKS LodzW
  4. LKS Lodz0:1RuchL
  5. LKS Lodz1:1RuchD
LKS Lodz's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 58%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X22:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
LKS Lodz : Ruch
Most likely scores
Market1-113%2-19%1-09%0-18%0-08%2-0—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%0-17%0-0—2-08%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-09%1-09%0-10-18%0-17%0-00-08%0-0—2-02-0—2-08%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals73%69%69%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes55%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals51%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals49%54%54%
Both teams to score: no45%43%43%
1 – LKS Lodz win38%46% · Elo 43%46%· Elo 43%
2 – Ruch win34%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
X – draw28%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%31%31%
Under 1.5 goals25%23%23%
Attack vs defence
LKS Lodz attack vs Ruch defenceattack1547defence1519+28 pts to the attack
Ruch attack vs LKS Lodz defenceattack1523defence1542−19 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.566%63%
7.553%49%
8.539%38%
9.528%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
LKS Lodzwe expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Ruchwe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 26.5 in this match, 25.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.560%52%
25.554%50%
26.548%43%
27.542%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
LKS Lodzwe expect 13.9, league average 13.0 · chance of over 13.5: 52%
Ruchwe expect 12.7, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.576%74%
2.553%49%
3.531%27%
4.515%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
LKS Lodzwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Ruchwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6LKS Lodz1043313:1115
7Ruch1043311:1115
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of LKS Lodz vs Ruch?

LKS Lodz 0-2 Ruch (half time 0-0).

Did the LKS Lodz vs Ruch tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – LKS Lodz (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.