1. LigaMatchday 10

Podbeskidzie 1-0 Pogon Siedlce: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadium Miejski w Bielsko Biala, Bielsko Biala

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloPodbeskidzie130750%40%Draw26%29%Pogon Siedlce129024%31%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%52%O2.552%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Pogon Siedlce0:0PodbeskidzieD
  2. Podbeskidzie2:0Pogon SiedlceW
  3. Pogon Siedlce3:0PodbeskidzieL
  4. Podbeskidzie0:0Pogon SiedlceD
Podbeskidzie's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Podbeskidzie : Pogon Siedlce
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes55%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals52%48%48%
1 – Podbeskidzie win50%49% · Elo 40%49%· Elo 40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals48%52%52%
Both teams to score: no45%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals30%27%27%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Pogon Siedlce win24%25% · Elo 31%25%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals23%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Podbeskidzie attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1503defence1490+13 pts to the attack
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Podbeskidzie defenceattack1411defence1512−101 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.3 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.559%63%
7.545%49%
8.532%38%
9.521%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 3.9, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 3.1, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 28.5 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.571%53%
25.566%50%
26.560%43%
27.554%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 14.0, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 52%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 14.8, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 69%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.560%74%
2.533%49%
3.515%26%
4.56%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Podbeskidzie: no win in 9 matches
  • Podbeskidzie: newly promoted
  • Podbeskidzie: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Pogon Siedlce: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Pogon Siedlce93339:812
15Podbeskidzie1018113:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Podbeskidzie vs Pogon Siedlce?

Podbeskidzie 1-0 Pogon Siedlce (half time 1-0).