1. LigaMatchday 4

Pogon Siedlce 1-0 Polonia Warszawa: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion ROSRRiT w Siedlcach, Siedlce
Referee:
Pawel Pskit

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won58%

referee Pawel Pskit averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 4.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPogon Siedlce129022%27%Draw25%28%Polonia Warszawa138853%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%56%O2.554%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Polonia Warszawa2:0Pogon SiedlceL
  2. Pogon Siedlce1:1Polonia WarszawaD
  3. Polonia Warszawa2:1Pogon SiedlceL
  4. Pogon Siedlce2:4Polonia WarszawaL
Pogon Siedlce's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.6league 11.3under 11.5: 51%Expected corners: 11.6 in this match, 11.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 11.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 7
RefereeP. Pskit+0.9 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.7
Pogon Siedlce : Polonia Warszawa
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%1-0—2-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-19%0-27%1-08%2-18%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-29%0-27%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-1—2-18%0-00-07%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%67%67%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals68%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes56%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals54%52%52%
2 – Polonia Warszawa win53%41% · Elo 45%41%· Elo 45%
1X – home team avoid defeat47%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals46%49%49%
Both teams to score: no44%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals32%29%29%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
1 – Pogon Siedlce win22%33% · Elo 27%33%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1414defence1513−99 pts to the attack
Polonia Warszawa attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1554defence1481+73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Polonia Warszawa matches average 13.5 corners (league 11.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Pogon Siedlce: no win in 7 matches
  • Pogon Siedlce: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Polonia Warszawa: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Polonia Warszawa1052317:1317
10Pogon Siedlce93339:812
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Pogon Siedlce 1-0 Polonia Warszawa (half time 1-0).

Did the Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.