1. LigaMatchday 6

Polonia Warszawa 2-4 Lechia Gdansk: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Stadium Polonii, Warsaw
Referee:
Daniel Stefanski

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPolonia Warszawa138848%29%Draw25%28%Lechia Gdansk151627%43%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lechia Gdansk1:0Polonia WarszawaL
  2. Polonia Warszawa0:1Lechia GdanskL
  3. Polonia Warszawa1:1Lechia GdanskD
  4. Lechia Gdansk1:3Polonia WarszawaW
  5. Lechia Gdansk1:3Polonia WarszawaW
Polonia Warszawa's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.3league 11.2under 11.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.3 in this match, 11.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.0under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Stefanski+1.8 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Polonia Warszawa : Lechia Gdansk
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals61%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%51%51%
1 – Polonia Warszawa win48%49% · Elo 29%49%· Elo 29%
Under 2.5 goals39%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
2 – Lechia Gdansk win27%27% · Elo 43%27%· Elo 43%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Polonia Warszawa attack vs Lechia Gdansk defenceattack1558defence1490+68 pts to the attack
Lechia Gdansk attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1497defence1518−21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lechia Gdansk: newly promoted
  • Polonia Warszawa: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lechia Gdansk: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Polonia Warszawa1052317:1317
4Lechia Gdansk1051419:1616
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?

Polonia Warszawa 2-4 Lechia Gdansk (half time 1-1).

Did the Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.