1. LigaMatchday 11
Ruch vs Opole: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%49%O2.550%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ruch2:0OpoleW
- Opole1:1RuchD
- Ruch6:0OpoleW
- Opole0:2RuchW
- Ruch3:0OpoleW
Ruch's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 11.1under 11.5: 61%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Ruch : OpoleMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%76% | 76% |
| 1 – Ruch win | 53%50% · Elo 50% | 50%· Elo 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 25%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%29% | 29% |
| 2 – Opole win | 22%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Ruch attack vs Opole defenceattack1532defence1525+7 pts to the attack
Opole attack vs Ruch defenceattack1393defence1529−136 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%64%
7.549%48%
8.536%36%
9.525%28%
Each team on its own
Ruchwe expect 4.3, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Opolewe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 26.4 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.560%54%
25.553%51%
26.547%44%
27.541%36%
Each team on its own
Ruchwe expect 12.3, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 35%
Opolewe expect 14.1, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 63%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%74%
2.552%49%
3.530%28%
4.515%16%
Each team on its own
Ruchwe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Opolewe expect 1.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Opole6 matches in a row under 2.5 goalsaway: 3Went on 56%League 49%Model 50%Record 15
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ruch: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Opole: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Ruch: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Opole: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ruch | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 15 |
| 12 | Opole | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ruch vs Opole?
Ruch are the favourites. Chances: Ruch win 53%, draw 25%, Opole win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ruch vs Opole?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Ruch 1.7, Opole 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Ruch vs Opole?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Ruch vs Opole?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).