1. LigaMatchday 4

Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia: prediction, tips and result

·

5-2Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec (attendance: 3,547)
Referee:
Dominik Sulikowski

The match in numbers

1X2EloStal Mielec134442%45%Draw27%28%Polonia133030%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%61%O2.555%58%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Stal Mielec4:1PoloniaW
  2. Polonia4:1Stal MielecL
Stal Mielec's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss5.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners11.1league 11.3under 11.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 11.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.0under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeD. Sulikowski+1.2 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Stal Mielec : Polonia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-07%0-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-0—0-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-07%2-0—0-10-1—0-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%81%81%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals67%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes59%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals45%42%42%
1 – Stal Mielec win42%42% · Elo 45%42%· Elo 45%
Both teams to score: no41%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals33%36%36%
2 – Polonia win30%34% · Elo 27%34%· Elo 27%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Stal Mielec attack vs Polonia defenceattack1501defence1474+27 pts to the attack
Polonia attack vs Stal Mielec defenceattack1520defence1462+58 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Polonia concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Polonia: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stal Mielec: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Polonia: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Polonia1026215:1712
14Stal Mielec1033416:2412
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Polonia?

Stal Mielec 5-2 Polonia (half time 2-1).