1. LigaMatchday 10
Stal Mielec 2-1 Warta Poznan: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won60%
over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (58% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%63%O2.560%61%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Warta Poznan5:2Stal MielecL
- Stal Mielec0:1Warta PoznanL
- Stal Mielec1:0Warta PoznanW
- Warta Poznan1:1Stal MielecD
- Stal Mielec0:1Warta PoznanL
Stal Mielec's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 11.1under 11.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 0
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 69% · H2H 2/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.7total 3.2
Stal Mielec : Warta PoznanMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%2-26%0-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-17%2-27%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-17%0-17%2-22-26%2-27%0-20-2—0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%58% | 58% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Warta Poznan win | 40%42% · Elo 32% | 42%· Elo 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%39% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Stal Mielec win | 34%34% · Elo 39% | 34%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 29% | 24%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Stal Mielec attack vs Warta Poznan defenceattack1504defence1519−15 pts to the attack
Warta Poznan attack vs Stal Mielec defenceattack1560defence1403+157 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.575%63%
7.563%49%
8.550%38%
9.537%30%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 4.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Warta Poznanwe expect 4.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 66%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 23.5 in this match, 25.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.541%52%
25.535%50%
26.529%43%
27.524%35%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 12.1, league average 13.0 · chance of over 13.5: 34%
Warta Poznanwe expect 11.1, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%74%
2.547%49%
3.526%27%
4.512%17%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Warta Poznanwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stal Mielec concede 2.4 goals per game
- Warta Poznan: newly promoted
- Stal Mielec: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Warta Poznan: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznan?
Stal Mielec 2-1 Warta Poznan (half time 2-0).
Did the Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznan tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.