1. LigaMatchday 10

Stal Rzeszow 1-2 Lechia Gdansk: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Lechia Gdansk (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost66%

Lechia Gdansk: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Stal Rzeszow's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 9 (65% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

For the brave
Cards – Lechia Gdansk (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost40%

Lechia Gdansk: under 1.5 card points in 5 of their last 9 league matches, Stal Rzeszow's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 4 of 9 (37% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStal Rzeszow126936%18%Draw25%24%Lechia Gdansk151639%58%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%62%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Stal Rzeszow4:2Lechia GdanskW
  2. Lechia Gdansk2:1Stal RzeszowL
Stal Rzeszow's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss4.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Stal Rzeszow : Lechia Gdansk
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-26%0-17%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-16%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%81%81%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes64%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals62%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals61%63%63%
2 – Lechia Gdansk win39%39% · Elo 58%39%· Elo 58%
Over 3.5 goals39%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals38%41%41%
1 – Stal Rzeszow win36%36% · Elo 18%36%· Elo 18%
Both teams to score: no36%38%38%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals17%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Stal Rzeszow attack vs Lechia Gdansk defenceattack1490defence1495−5 pts to the attack
Lechia Gdansk attack vs Stal Rzeszow defenceattack1546defence1425+121 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.568%64%
7.555%48%
8.542%36%
9.530%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Lechia Gdanskwe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 23.1 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.538%55%
25.532%51%
26.526%44%
27.522%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 10.7, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 21%
Lechia Gdanskwe expect 12.0, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.568%74%
2.542%49%
3.521%27%
4.59%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 1.0, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Lechia Gdanskwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stal Rzeszow: 4 wins in a row
  • Stal Rzeszow: 15 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lechia Gdansk concede a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Lechia Gdansk: newly promoted
  • Stal Rzeszow: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lechia Gdansk: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Lechia Gdansk1051419:1616
9Stal Rzeszow1042411:1714
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Stal Rzeszow 1-2 Lechia Gdansk (half time 0-2).

Did the Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Lechia Gdansk (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.