EkstraklasaMatchday 4

Cracovia 2-1 Rakow: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium, Krakow (attendance: 10,534)
Referee:
Pawel Raczkowski

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost55%

Cracovia: no goal in their last 3 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCracovia158838%28%Draw29%28%Rakow165732%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%50%O2.545%44%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rakow4:1CracoviaL
  2. Cracovia2:0RakowW
  3. Cracovia0:0RakowD
  4. Rakow0:1CracoviaW
  5. Cracovia2:0RakowW
Cracovia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.1under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
RefereeP. Raczkowski+1.0 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Cracovia : Rakow
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-19%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals71%70%70%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%64%64%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals55%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes51%50%50%
Both teams to score: no49%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%44%44%
1 – Cracovia win38%37% · Elo 28%37%· Elo 28%
2 – Rakow win32%35% · Elo 44%35%· Elo 44%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals29%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals23%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Cracovia attack vs Rakow defenceattack1448defence1570−122 pts to the attack
Rakow attack vs Cracovia defenceattack1544defence1542+2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cracovia: no win in 11 matches
  • Cracovia: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cracovia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rakow: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Cracovia1032512:1511
18Rakow1010913:253
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cracovia vs Rakow?

Cracovia 2-1 Rakow (half time 0-1).

Did the Cracovia vs Rakow tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.