EkstraklasaMatchday 3

Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadium Poznan, Poznan (attendance: 25,329)
Referee:
Patryk Gryckiewicz

The match in numbers

1X2EloLech Poznan180961%62%Draw21%23%Piast Gliwice162018%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%54%O2.561%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lech Poznan3:0Piast GliwiceW
  2. Piast Gliwice1:0Lech PoznanL
  3. Lech Poznan1:0Piast GliwiceW
  4. Piast Gliwice0:0Lech PoznanD
  5. Lech Poznan0:1Piast GliwiceL
Lech Poznan's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeP. Gryckiewicz+0.3 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Lech Poznan : Piast Gliwice
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-08%2-110%2-09%3-17%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%3-1—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%78%78%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
1 – Lech Poznan win61%53% · Elo 62%53%· Elo 62%
Over 2.5 goals61%53%53%
Under 3.5 goals61%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes58%54%54%
Both teams to score: no42%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals39%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals39%30%30%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
2 – Piast Gliwice win18%23% · Elo 16%23%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals17%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Lech Poznan attack vs Piast Gliwice defenceattack1603defence1531+72 pts to the attack
Piast Gliwice attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1490defence1557−67 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lech Poznan: unbeaten in 12 matches
  • Piast Gliwice: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Piast Gliwice score a lot late on: 12 of 28 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Lech Poznan: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Piast Gliwice: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lech Poznan971121:822
7Piast Gliwice1051418:1616
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?

Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice (half time 0-0).