EkstraklasaMatchday 2

Motor Lublin 1-2 Jagiellonia: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Arena Lublin, Lublin
Referee:
Tomasz Kwiatkowski

The match in numbers

1X2EloMotor Lublin155232%25%Draw27%27%Jagiellonia170441%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%60%O2.556%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Jagiellonia4:1Motor LublinL
  2. Motor Lublin1:1JagielloniaD
  3. Jagiellonia3:0Motor LublinL
  4. Motor Lublin0:2JagielloniaL
Motor Lublin's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
RefereeT. Kwiatkowski+0.1 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Motor Lublin : Jagiellonia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-0—0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%1-07%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-18%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%80%80%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals67%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes59%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals56%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals44%43%43%
2 – Jagiellonia win41%39% · Elo 47%39%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: no41%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals33%35%35%
1 – Motor Lublin win32%36% · Elo 25%36%· Elo 25%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Motor Lublin attack vs Jagiellonia defenceattack1496defence1504−8 pts to the attack
Jagiellonia attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1569defence1422+147 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Jagiellonia940513:1612
14Motor Lublin1023512:179
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia?

Motor Lublin 1-2 Jagiellonia (half time 0-1).