EkstraklasaMatchday 4

Widzew Lodz 1-2 Korona Kielce: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Stadion Widzewa, Lodz (attendance: 16,683)
Referee:
Karol Arys

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost61%

referee Karol Arys averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 4.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWidzew Lodz157647%43%Draw29%28%Korona Kielce160424%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%49%O2.544%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Korona Kielce1:0Widzew LodzL
  2. Widzew Lodz1:3Korona KielceL
  3. Korona Kielce2:1Widzew LodzL
  4. Widzew Lodz0:1Korona KielceL
  5. Widzew Lodz3:1Korona KielceW
Widzew Lodz's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.9under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 19
Cardsleague cards3.2league 4.1under 4.5: 78%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeK. Arys−1.8 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Widzew Lodz : Korona Kielce
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-08%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%72%72%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals71%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals56%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%56%56%
Both teams to score: no51%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes49%49%49%
1 – Widzew Lodz win47%44% · Elo 43%44%· Elo 43%
Over 2.5 goals44%43%43%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals29%31%31%
2 – Korona Kielce win24%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals23%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Widzew Lodz attack vs Korona Kielce defenceattack1456defence1520−64 pts to the attack
Korona Kielce attack vs Widzew Lodz defenceattack1471defence1548−77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Korona Kielce matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Korona Kielce: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Widzew Lodz concede a lot late on: 7 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Widzew Lodz: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Korona Kielce: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Korona Kielce1043312:1215
13Widzew Lodz1016314:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce?

Widzew Lodz 1-2 Korona Kielce (half time 1-2).

Did the Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.