Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6

Chaves 1-0 Feirense: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
Referee:
Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 5.5Lost56%

referee Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa averages 7.2 cards a match, league average 5.9

For the brave
Cards: Over 6.5Lost42%

referee Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa averages 7.2 cards a match, league average 5.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChaves136743%45%Draw28%27%Feirense132528%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%47%O2.547%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Feirense1:0ChavesL
  2. Chaves1:1FeirenseD
  3. Feirense0:1ChavesW
  4. Chaves0:0FeirenseD
  5. Chaves3:1FeirenseW
Chaves's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards6.2league 5.9over 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 6.2 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 4
RefereeD. Miguel Mauzinho Rosa+1.2 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Chaves : Feirense
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%0-09%2-19%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-013%0-00-09%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-09%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals73%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%74%74%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals53%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes52%47%47%
Both teams to score: no48%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals47%42%42%
1 – Chaves win43%46% · Elo 45%46%· Elo 45%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
2 – Feirense win28%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals27%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals25%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Chaves attack vs Feirense defenceattack1519defence1515+4 pts to the attack
Feirense attack vs Chaves defenceattack1438defence1517−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chaves concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Chaves matches average only 4.6 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chaves: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Feirense score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Feirense: 4 defeats in a row
  • Feirense: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Chaves: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Feirense: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Chaves71246:145
18Feirense70162:101
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chaves vs Feirense?

Chaves 1-0 Feirense (half time 0-0).

Did the Chaves vs Feirense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 5.5. The tip lost.