Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6

Portimonense 0-2 Tondela: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Portimao, Portimao (attendance: 1,072)
Referee:
Andre Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Won56%

8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.4 in the visitors', league average 9.5; under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

    under 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won43%

8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.4 in the visitors', league average 9.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortimonense134731%26%Draw29%27%Tondela150940%48%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.543%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Portimonense2:2TondelaD
  2. Tondela2:0PortimonenseL
  3. Portimonense1:2TondelaL
  4. Tondela0:3PortimonenseW
  5. Portimonense3:0TondelaW
Portimonense's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.8league 5.9over 5.5: 52%Expected cards: 5.8 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso−0.2 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.3total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Portimonense : Tondela
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%1-09%0-010%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-011%0-09%2-19%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%1-01-09%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%75%75%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals70%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals57%54%54%
Both teams to score: no51%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals43%46%46%
2 – Tondela win40%32% · Elo 48%32%· Elo 48%
1 – Portimonense win31%41% · Elo 26%41%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals30%28%28%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals22%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Portimonense attack vs Tondela defenceattack1485defence1494−9 pts to the attack
Tondela attack vs Portimonense defenceattack1483defence1468+15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Portimonense matches average only 4.5 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Portimonense: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Tondela: newly promoted
  • Portimonense: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Tondela: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Tondela74038:612
11Portimonense73136:710
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Portimonense vs Tondela?

Portimonense 0-2 Tondela (half time 0-1).

Did the Portimonense vs Tondela tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip won.