Liga PortugalMatchday 2
Arouca 4-0 Moreirense: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
- Referee:
- Andre Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost55%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%52%O2.545%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Moreirense0:1AroucaW
- Arouca0:2MoreirenseL
- Arouca1:0MoreirenseW
- Moreirense3:1AroucaL
- Moreirense1:0AroucaL
Arouca's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso−0.3 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.9total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Arouca : MoreirenseMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-011%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-011%2-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 55%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Arouca win | 53%46% · Elo 43% | 46%· Elo 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Moreirense win | 21%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Arouca attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1485defence1456+29 pts to the attack
Moreirense attack vs Arouca defenceattack1427defence1447−20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Arouca: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Arouca: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Moreirense: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Arouca
Moreirense
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arouca vs Moreirense?
Arouca 4-0 Moreirense (half time 3-0).
Did the Arouca vs Moreirense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.