Liga PortugalMatchday 2
Nacional 2-0 Estoril: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
- Referee:
- Bruno Pires Costa
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%
referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 5.2
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%
referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 5.2
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%57%O2.549%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nacional0:1EstorilL
- Estoril1:1NacionalD
- Nacional2:2EstorilD
- Estoril1:0NacionalL
- Estoril1:2NacionalW
Nacional's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.4over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 6
RefereeB. Pires Costa−1.0 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Nacional : EstorilMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-1—0-08%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-0—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-00-08%0-0—2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Estoril win | 39%34% · Elo 36% | 34%· Elo 36% |
| 1 – Nacional win | 33%40% · Elo 34% | 40%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 30% | 26%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Nacional attack vs Estoril defenceattack1461defence1438+23 pts to the attack
Estoril attack vs Nacional defenceattack1529defence1444+85 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nacional: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Nacional matches average 11.6 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Estoril: no win in 9 matches
- Estoril: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nacional: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Estoril: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Nacional
Estoril
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nacional vs Estoril?
Nacional 2-0 Estoril (half time 0-0).
Did the Nacional vs Estoril tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.