SuperligaMatchday 11

Csikszereda M. Ciuc 0-1 U Craiova: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 11 October · 16:00

Csikszereda M. Ciuc

0-1 2-3 1-5 1-3 0-2

0-1Full time(half time 0-0)

U Craiova

5-0 1-0 4-0 1-1 3-1

Stadium:: Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc
Referee:: Andrei Moroita

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 11 October 2026, 11:40. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Corners: Under 9.5Won57%

6.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 9.7; under 9.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

Match Result: U CraiovaWon74%
Csikszereda M. Ciuc: winless in their last 10 league matches; U Craiova: won 6 of their last 10 league matches
Both Teams To Score: NoWon56%
U Craiova: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches
Shots on Target – U Craiova: Over 4.5Won67%
U Craiova: 6.4 shots on target a match, Csikszereda M. Ciuc's opponents had 6.7 on average, league average 3.9; over 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Csikszereda M. Ciuc's opponents had over 4.5 in 9 of 10 (37% of league matches)

For the brave

Corners: Under 7.5Lost32%

under 7.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (28% of league matches); 6.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 9.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCsikszereda M. Ciuc13489%15%Draw15%23%U Craiova165676%62%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%52%O2.560%53%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.8not both scored

H2Hlast 2 meetings

22/12/202522/12/25U Craiova5:0Csikszereda M. CiucL
17/08/202517/08/25Csikszereda M. Ciuc1:2U CraiovaL

Csikszereda M. Ciuc's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses4.0 goals per match

too few to read anything into

Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.7under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4

RefereeA. Moroita+0.4 yellow cards vs average10 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)71%O2.50:2coverageleague 50% · H2H 2/2not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market0.7 : 2.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.0 : 1.8total 2.8

Csikszereda M. Ciuc : U Craiova

Most likely scores

Market0-213%1-18%0-311%0-110%1-29%0-0—Attack/defence0-210%1-111%0-36%0-111%1-210%0-06%

MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-210%1-11-18%1-111%0-30-311%0-36%0-10-110%0-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-00-0—0-06%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat	91%81%	81%
12 – no draw	85%77%	77%
Over 1.5 goals	82%77%	77%
2 – U Craiova win	76%57% · Elo 62%	57%· Elo 62%
Under 3.5 goals	62%69%	69%
Over 2.5 goals	60%53%	53%
Both teams to score: no	55%48%	48%
Both teams to score: yes	45%52%	52%
Under 2.5 goals	40%47%	47%
Over 3.5 goals	38%31%	31%
1X – home team avoid defeat	24%43%	43%
Under 1.5 goals	18%23%	23%
X – draw	15%23% · Elo 23%	23%· Elo 23%
1 – Csikszereda M. Ciuc win	9%19% · Elo 15%	19%· Elo 15%

Attack vs defence

Csikszereda M. Ciuc attack vs U Craiova defenceattack1396defence1634−238 pts to the attack

U Craiova attack vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc defenceattack1631defence1376+255 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over

We expect 9.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.574%65%

8.562%54%

9.550%44%

10.538%30%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Csikszereda M. Ciucwe expect 4.1, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 39%

U Craiovawe expect 5.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 81%

Foulsleague average

Under 22.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%

We expect 21.6 in this match, 22.2 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.548%54%

22.541%48%

23.535%40%

24.529%33%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Csikszereda M. Ciucwe expect 10.9, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 41%

U Craiovawe expect 11.4, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 47%

Referee: 20.8 fouls per match on average (8 matches in our data)−2.1 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%

We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.572%73%

2.547%48%

3.526%26%

4.512%12%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Csikszereda M. Ciucwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

U Craiovawe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 30%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Csikszereda M. Ciuc concede 2.3 goals per game
U Craiova score 2.4 goals per game
Csikszereda M. Ciuc matches average only 6.8 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Csikszereda M. Ciuc score only 0.6 goals per game
Csikszereda M. Ciuc: 5 defeats in a row
Csikszereda M. Ciuc: only 1 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 9 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Csikszereda M. Ciuc: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
U Craiova: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form