SuperligaMatchday 12

FC Rapid Bucuresti vs Corvinul: prediction, tips and stats

Saturday 17 October · 19:30

FC Rapid Bucuresti

1-1 1-0 2-1 3-1 4-3

1.8:0.9Pre-match

Corvinul

3-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 1-1

Our tips

Tip in 3d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Rapid Bucuresti156160%56%Draw23%25%Corvinul143417%19%

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.552%52%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9

H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met

Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.1under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.9 : 0.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.8

FC Rapid Bucuresti : Corvinul

Most likely scores

Market1-011%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-07%3-0—Attack/defence1-011%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-07%3-06%

MarketAttack/defence1-01-011%1-011%1-11-111%1-111%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-07%3-03-0—3-06%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	83%81%	81%
12 – no draw	77%77%	77%
Over 1.5 goals	77%76%	76%
Under 3.5 goals	70%70%	70%
1 – FC Rapid Bucuresti win	60%58% · Elo 56%	58%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals	52%52%	52%
Both teams to score: yes	50%51%	51%
Both teams to score: no	50%49%	49%
Under 2.5 goals	48%48%	48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	40%42%	42%
Over 3.5 goals	30%30%	30%
X – draw	23%23% · Elo 25%	23%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals	23%24%	24%
2 – Corvinul win	17%19% · Elo 19%	19%· Elo 19%

Attack vs defence

FC Rapid Bucuresti attack vs Corvinul defenceattack1540defence1433+107 pts to the attack

Corvinul attack vs FC Rapid Bucuresti defenceattack1442defence1555−113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over

We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.570%65%

8.558%54%

9.545%44%

10.534%30%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

FC Rapid Bucurestiwe expect 5.6, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 64%

Corvinulwe expect 4.0, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 56%

Foulsleague average

Under 22.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%

We expect 21.3 in this match, 22.1 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.546%54%

22.539%48%

23.533%40%

24.527%33%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

FC Rapid Bucurestiwe expect 10.4, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 47%

Corvinulwe expect 10.7, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 39%

Offsidesleague average

Under 2.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%

We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.565%74%

2.539%48%

3.519%25%

4.58%12%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

FC Rapid Bucurestiwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Corvinulwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 20%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Corvinul matches average 5.6 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
FC Rapid Bucuresti: 4 wins in a row
FC Rapid Bucuresti: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Corvinul: newly promoted
FC Rapid Bucuresti: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Corvinul: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form