LaLigaMatchday 3
Alaves 1-0 Villarreal: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz (attendance: 15,556)
- Referee:
- Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%59%O2.553%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Alaves1:1VillarrealD
- Villarreal3:1AlavesL
- Alaves1:0VillarrealW
- Villarreal3:0AlavesL
- Alaves1:1VillarrealD
Alaves's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.7over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.7over 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 5
RefereeI. Diaz de Mera Escuderos+0.6 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Alaves : VillarrealMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-0—0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%0-18%1-08%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%41% | 41% |
| 2 – Villarreal win | 42%36% · Elo 40% | 36%· Elo 40% |
| 1 – Alaves win | 31%38% · Elo 31% | 38%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Alaves attack vs Villarreal defenceattack1477defence1493−16 pts to the attack
Villarreal attack vs Alaves defenceattack1605defence1484+121 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Alaves matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Alaves: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Villarreal: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Alaves vs Villarreal?
Alaves 1-0 Villarreal (half time 1-0).