LaLigaMatchday 6

Ath Madrid 4-0 Osasuna: prediction, tips and result

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Ath Madrid
2-02-23-10-33-0
4-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Osasuna
0-22-51-02-10-0
Stadium:
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid (attendance: 60,869)
Referee:
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.7

Other tips

  • Match Result: Ath MadridWon74%

    Ath Madrid: won 3 of their last 5 league matches

  • Both Teams To Score: NoWon55%

    at least one side without a goal in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (43% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won45%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAth Madrid201574%68%Draw16%20%Osasuna176610%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%55%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Osasuna1:2Ath MadridW
  2. Ath Madrid1:0OsasunaW
  3. Osasuna2:0Ath MadridL
  4. Ath Madrid1:0OsasunaW
  5. Ath Madrid1:4OsasunaL
Ath Madrid's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.7over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.7under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeF. Jose Hernandez Maeso−1.5 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.7total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Ath Madrid : Osasuna
Most likely scores
Market2-013%1-011%1-18%3-010%2-19%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-010%1-111%3-06%2-110%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-010%1-01-011%1-010%1-11-18%1-111%3-03-010%3-06%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%80%80%
12 – no draw84%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
1 – Ath Madrid win74%57% · Elo 68%57%· Elo 68%
Under 3.5 goals65%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
Both teams to score: no55%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes45%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals35%33%33%
X2 – away team avoid defeat26%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
X – draw16%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
2 – Osasuna win10%20% · Elo 13%20%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Ath Madrid attack vs Osasuna defenceattack1583defence1480+103 pts to the attack
Osasuna attack vs Ath Madrid defenceattack1482defence1554−72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Osasuna: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Osasuna score a lot late on: 10 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Ath Madrid played 3 days ago
  • Osasuna: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Ath Madrid

Osasuna

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Ath Madrid861118:819
16Osasuna82248:188
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ath Madrid vs Osasuna?

Ath Madrid 4-0 Osasuna (half time 1-0).

Did the Ath Madrid vs Osasuna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also