LaLigaMatchday 4

Alaves 5-2 Osasuna: prediction, tips and result

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5-2Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz (attendance: 18,920)
Referee:
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlaves178643%42%Draw31%29%Osasuna176626%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%52%O2.539%48%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Alaves2:2OsasunaD
  2. Osasuna3:0AlavesL
  3. Alaves1:1OsasunaD
  4. Osasuna2:2AlavesD
  5. Osasuna1:0AlavesL
Alaves's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.7over 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 3
RefereeJ. Maria Sanchez Martinez+0.3 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Alaves : Osasuna
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-012%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-08%0-18%2-08%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-010%0-00-012%0-08%0-10-19%0-18%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%70%70%
12 – no draw69%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals66%73%73%
Under 2.5 goals61%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%57%57%
Both teams to score: no55%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes45%52%52%
1 – Alaves win43%43% · Elo 42%43%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Under 1.5 goals34%27%27%
X – draw31%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
2 – Osasuna win26%30% · Elo 29%30%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals19%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Alaves attack vs Osasuna defenceattack1467defence1509−42 pts to the attack
Osasuna attack vs Alaves defenceattack1492defence1494−2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Alaves matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Osasuna score a lot late on: 11 of 23 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Alaves: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Osasuna: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Alaves832312:811
16Osasuna82248:188
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Alaves vs Osasuna?

Alaves 5-2 Osasuna (half time 2-0).