LaLigaMatchday 3

Barcelona 5-2 Vallecano: prediction, tips and result

·

5-2Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Camp Nou, Barcelona (attendance: 57,768)
Referee:
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won62%

our numbers: 4.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won60%

    referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBarcelona216390%77%Draw7%15%Vallecano18303%9%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%51%O2.580%58%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Barcelona1:0VallecanoW
  2. Vallecano1:1BarcelonaD
  3. Barcelona1:0VallecanoW
  4. Vallecano1:2BarcelonaW
  5. Barcelona3:0VallecanoW
Barcelona's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.7over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.7under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 1
RefereeF. Jose Hernandez Maeso−1.2 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.6 : 0.6total 4.2Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.0
Barcelona : Vallecano
Most likely scores
Market2-09%3-011%1-0—4-010%2-1—1-1—5-07%3-17%Attack/defence2-011%3-08%1-010%4-0—2-110%1-19%5-0—3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-09%2-011%3-03-011%3-08%1-01-0—1-010%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-110%1-11-1—1-19%5-05-07%5-0—3-13-17%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat97%86%86%
12 – no draw93%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals93%80%80%
1 – Barcelona win90%67% · Elo 77%67%· Elo 77%
Over 2.5 goals80%58%58%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals62%35%35%
Both teams to score: no54%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes46%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals38%65%65%
Under 2.5 goals20%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat10%34%34%
X – draw7%20% · Elo 15%20%· Elo 15%
Under 1.5 goals7%20%20%
2 – Vallecano win3%14% · Elo 9%14%· Elo 9%
Attack vs defence
Barcelona attack vs Vallecano defenceattack1713defence1524+189 pts to the attack
Vallecano attack vs Barcelona defenceattack1450defence1605−155 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Barcelona880034:724
13Vallecano722311:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Barcelona vs Vallecano?

Barcelona 5-2 Vallecano (half time 2-1).

Did the Barcelona vs Vallecano tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.