LaLigaMatchday 8

Levante 3-3 Sevilla: prediction, tips and result

·

Levante
0-05-20-02-41-3
3-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Sevilla
1-31-01-01-11-3
Stadium:
Ciutat de Valencia, Valencia
Referee:
Adrian Cordero Vega

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Levante (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won65%

Levante: under 2.5 card points in 6 of their last 6 league matches (61% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Sevilla: Over 3.5Lost57%

    Sevilla: over 3.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 7 league matches, Levante's opponents had over 3.5 in 5 of 6 (52% of league matches); 4.6 shots on target a match, Levante's opponents had 5.8 on average, league average 3.8

For the brave
Cards – Levante (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost39%

Levante: under 1.5 card points in 6 of their last 6 league matches (32% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLevante176734%41%Draw29%29%Sevilla179437%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%55%O2.547%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Levante2:0SevillaW
  2. Sevilla0:3LevanteW
  3. Levante2:3SevillaL
  4. Sevilla5:3LevanteL
  5. Levante0:1SevillaL
Levante's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.7under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.4under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Cordero Vega−0.2 yellow cards vs average24 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%X21:0coverageleague 66% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.7
Levante : Sevilla
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-18%0-0—2-19%1-28%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%0-10-19%0-18%0-00-09%0-0—2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals73%75%75%
12 – no draw71%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals53%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes53%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals47%51%51%
Both teams to score: no47%45%45%
2 – Sevilla win37%32% · Elo 30%32%· Elo 30%
1 – Levante win34%42% · Elo 41%42%· Elo 41%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals27%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals25%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Levante attack vs Sevilla defenceattack1465defence1509−44 pts to the attack
Sevilla attack vs Levante defenceattack1462defence1432+30 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.567%67%
8.554%52%
9.542%40%
10.530%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 4.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Sevillawe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.548%55%
23.541%48%
24.535%43%
25.528%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 11.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Sevillawe expect 12.2, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Referee: 21.7 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)−1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.569%70%
3.548%48%
4.530%34%
5.516%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 1.7, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 24%
Sevillawe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 54%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Levante matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Sevilla matches average only 7.3 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Levante: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sevilla: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Levante

Sevilla

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Sevilla842213:1214
17Levante713311:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Levante vs Sevilla?

Levante 3-3 Sevilla (half time 0-1).

Did the Levante vs Sevilla tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Levante (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also