LaLigaMatchday 3

Real Madrid 4-0 Malaga: prediction, tips and result

·

4-0Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid (attendance: 74,799)
Referee:
Juan Martinez Munuera

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won62%

our numbers: 4.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Won10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloReal Madrid211190%77%Draw7%15%Malaga17653%8%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%51%O2.580%59%|exp. goals 2.2 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Malaga1:2Real MadridW
  2. Real Madrid3:2MalagaW
  3. Malaga0:2Real MadridW
  4. Real Madrid2:1MalagaW
  5. Malaga1:1Real MadridD
Real Madrid's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeJ. Martinez Munuera+0.2 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.6 : 0.6total 4.2Attack/defence2.2 : 0.8total 3.1
Real Madrid : Malaga
Most likely scores
Market2-09%3-011%1-0—4-010%2-1—1-1—3-17%5-07%Attack/defence2-012%3-09%1-010%4-0—2-110%1-19%3-17%5-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-09%2-012%3-03-011%3-09%1-01-0—1-010%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-110%1-11-1—1-19%3-13-17%3-17%5-05-07%5-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat97%88%88%
12 – no draw93%81%81%
Over 1.5 goals93%81%81%
1 – Real Madrid win90%69% · Elo 77%69%· Elo 77%
Over 2.5 goals80%59%59%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals62%37%37%
Both teams to score: no54%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes46%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals38%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals20%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat10%31%31%
X – draw7%19% · Elo 15%19%· Elo 15%
Under 1.5 goals7%19%19%
2 – Malaga win3%12% · Elo 8%12%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
Real Madrid attack vs Malaga defenceattack1679defence1464+215 pts to the attack
Malaga attack vs Real Madrid defenceattack1422defence1594−172 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Real Madrid: 5 wins in a row
  • Malaga: newly promoted
  • Real Madrid: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Malaga: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Madrid860219:818
20Malaga80444:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Real Madrid 4-0 Malaga (half time 3-0).

Did the Real Madrid vs Malaga tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.