LaLigaMatchday 8

Sociedad 3-2 La Coruna: prediction, tips and result

·

Sociedad
2-10-03-20-33-2
3-2Full time(half time 2-0)
La Coruna
1-10-11-13-23-1
Stadium:
Reale Arena, San Sebastian
Referee:
Miguel Sesma Espinosa

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa averages 3.5 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4

Other tips

  • Offsides: Under 3.5Lost60%

    2.4 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 2.6 in the visitors', league average 3.9; under 3.5 offsides in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Sociedad: Under 5.5Won68%

    Sociedad: under 5.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 7 league matches, La Coruna's opponents had under 5.5 in 6 of 7 (62% of league matches); 4.4 shots on target a match, La Coruna's opponents had 3.9 on average, league average 5.1

  • Fouls – La Coruna: Under 11.5Lost57%

    La Coruna: under 11.5 fouls in 4 of their last 7 league matches, Sociedad's opponents committed under 11.5 in 5 of 7 (50% of league matches)

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won42%

referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa averages 3.5 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSociedad182059%45%Draw23%28%La Coruna179918%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%54%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sociedad5:0La CorunaW
  2. La Coruna2:4SociedadW
  3. Sociedad1:0La CorunaW
  4. La Coruna5:1SociedadL
  5. Sociedad1:1La CorunaD
Sociedad's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Sesma Espinosa−0.8 yellow cards vs average23 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%11:1coverageleague 62% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Sociedad : La Coruna
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-010%2-010%2-110%3-07%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-09%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%70%70%
1 – Sociedad win59%50% · Elo 45%50%· Elo 45%
Over 2.5 goals56%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes54%54%54%
Both teams to score: no46%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals44%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals33%30%30%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
2 – La Coruna win18%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
Sociedad attack vs La Coruna defenceattack1509defence1478+31 pts to the attack
La Coruna attack vs Sociedad defenceattack1420defence1461−41 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%67%
8.552%52%
9.539%40%
10.528%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sociedadwe expect 4.6, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 32%
La Corunawe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 24.0 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.558%54%
23.551%48%
24.545%42%
25.538%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sociedadwe expect 11.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
La Corunawe expect 11.1, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Referee: 25.4 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+2.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.562%70%
3.541%49%
4.523%35%
5.511%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sociedadwe expect 1.7, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 25%
La Corunawe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • La Coruna: newly promoted
  • Sociedad: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • La Coruna: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Sociedad

La Coruna

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Sociedad841312:1513
8La Coruna824212:1110
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sociedad vs La Coruna?

Sociedad 3-2 La Coruna (half time 2-0).

Did the Sociedad vs La Coruna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also