LaLigaMatchday 4

Valencia 0-5 Barcelona: prediction, tips and result

·

0-5Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Mestalla, Valencia (attendance: 47,159)
Referee:
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Match Result: BarcelonaWon79%

    Barcelona: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; 3 league wins in a row

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won50%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloValencia18058%15%Draw13%22%Barcelona216379%63%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%59%O2.571%58%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Valencia3:1BarcelonaW
  2. Barcelona6:0ValenciaL
  3. Barcelona7:1ValenciaL
  4. Valencia1:2BarcelonaL
  5. Barcelona4:2ValenciaL
Valencia's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses5.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.7under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 4
RefereeI. Diaz de Mera Escuderos+0.6 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 2.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.8total 3.0
Valencia : Barcelona
Most likely scores
Market1-1—0-210%0-310%1-29%0-1—1-38%0-47%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%0-28%0-3—1-210%0-19%1-3—0-4—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-1—1-111%0-20-210%0-28%0-30-310%0-3—1-21-29%1-210%0-10-1—0-19%1-31-38%1-3—0-40-47%0-4—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat92%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals88%80%80%
12 – no draw87%76%76%
2 – Barcelona win79%50% · Elo 63%50%· Elo 63%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes53%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals50%36%36%
Under 3.5 goals50%64%64%
Both teams to score: no47%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals29%42%42%
1X – home team avoid defeat21%50%50%
X – draw13%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals12%20%20%
1 – Valencia win8%26% · Elo 15%26%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
Valencia attack vs Barcelona defenceattack1470defence1597−127 pts to the attack
Barcelona attack vs Valencia defenceattack1731defence1492+239 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Barcelona matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Barcelona score 2.3 goals per game
  • Valencia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Barcelona: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Barcelona880034:724
19Valencia81256:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Valencia vs Barcelona?

Valencia 0-5 Barcelona (half time 0-2).

Did the Valencia vs Barcelona tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.