LaLigaMatchday 5

Villarreal 1-2 Betis: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal (attendance: 18,267)
Referee:
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won64%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

    our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won45%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVillarreal188650%40%Draw24%29%Betis192627%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%60%O2.568%59%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Betis2:0VillarrealL
  2. Villarreal2:2BetisD
  3. Betis1:2VillarrealW
  4. Villarreal1:2BetisL
  5. Betis2:3VillarrealW
Villarreal's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.7over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.6under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
RefereeF. Jose Hernandez Maeso−1.4 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.0
Villarreal : Betis
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%2-27%1-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%2-26%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-08%2-22-27%2-26%1-21-27%1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%81%81%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals68%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes67%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals54%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%50%50%
1 – Villarreal win50%50% · Elo 40%50%· Elo 40%
Over 3.5 goals46%36%36%
Both teams to score: no33%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals32%41%41%
2 – Betis win27%26% · Elo 31%26%· Elo 31%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 29%24%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals13%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Villarreal attack vs Betis defenceattack1592defence1511+81 pts to the attack
Betis attack vs Villarreal defenceattack1532defence1494+38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Betis: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Villarreal: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Betis: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Betis861114:919
11Villarreal822413:138
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Villarreal vs Betis?

Villarreal 1-2 Betis (half time 1-2).

Did the Villarreal vs Betis tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.