AllsvenskanMatchday 19

Djurgarden 4-0 Mjallby: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
3Arena, Stockholm
Referee:
Erik Mattsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won62%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost56%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won40%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDjurgarden167066%48%Draw19%25%Mjallby151715%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.562%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mjallby1:1DjurgardenD
  2. Djurgarden1:3MjallbyL
  3. Djurgarden1:1MjallbyD
  4. Mjallby1:3DjurgardenW
  5. Mjallby0:1DjurgardenW
Djurgarden's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.5under 3.5: 62%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 1
RefereeE. Mattsson−1.6 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Djurgarden : Mjallby
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-08%2-010%2-110%0-1—3-08%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-18%3-0—0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals83%73%73%
12 – no draw81%73%73%
1 – Djurgarden win66%45% · Elo 48%45%· Elo 48%
Over 2.5 goals62%47%47%
Under 3.5 goals60%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes56%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals40%26%26%
Under 2.5 goals38%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%55%55%
X – draw19%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals17%27%27%
2 – Mjallby win15%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
Djurgarden attack vs Mjallby defenceattack1609defence1621−12 pts to the attack
Mjallby attack vs Djurgarden defenceattack1549defence1596−47 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Djurgarden23142748:2144
12Mjallby23581028:3923
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Djurgarden vs Mjallby?

Djurgarden 4-0 Mjallby (half time 3-0).

Did the Djurgarden vs Mjallby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.