AllsvenskanMatchday 17

Djurgarden 1-3 AIK: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
3Arena, Stockholm
Referee:
Fredrik Klitte

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9

Other tips

  • Match Result: DjurgardenLost69%

    Djurgarden: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDjurgarden167069%54%Draw18%24%AIK151413%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%52%O2.565%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AIK2:4DjurgardenW
  2. AIK0:0DjurgardenD
  3. Djurgarden1:1AIKD
  4. Djurgarden0:2AIKL
  5. AIK2:0DjurgardenL
Djurgarden's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.1under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 6
RefereeF. Klitte+0.6 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Djurgarden : AIK
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-08%2-010%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals86%75%75%
12 – no draw82%76%76%
1 – Djurgarden win69%55% · Elo 54%55%· Elo 54%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals65%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals57%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes57%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals43%29%29%
Both teams to score: no43%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals35%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat31%45%45%
X – draw18%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals14%25%25%
2 – AIK win13%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Djurgarden attack vs AIK defenceattack1604defence1530+74 pts to the attack
AIK attack vs Djurgarden defenceattack1473defence1598−125 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Djurgarden score 2.7 goals per game
  • Djurgarden matches average 12.8 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Djurgarden: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • AIK: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Djurgarden23142748:2144
9AIK2396836:4033
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Djurgarden vs AIK?

Djurgarden 1-3 AIK (half time 0-3).

Did the Djurgarden vs AIK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.