AllsvenskanMatchday 15

AIK 0-3 Orgryte: prediction, tips and result

·

0-3Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee:
Richard Sundell

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost59%

referee Richard Sundell averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost38%

referee Richard Sundell averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAIK151465%62%Draw19%21%Orgryte136116%17%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%49%O2.562%48%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AIK3:0OrgryteW
  2. Orgryte0:1AIKW
  3. Orgryte0:0AIKD
  4. AIK2:1OrgryteW
  5. AIK0:3OrgryteL
AIK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 4
RefereeR. Sundell−1.1 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
AIK : Orgryte
Most likely scores
Market1-08%1-110%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-17%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-1—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-08%1-012%1-11-110%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals84%73%73%
12 – no draw81%75%75%
1 – AIK win65%55% · Elo 62%55%· Elo 62%
Over 2.5 goals62%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals60%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes57%49%49%
Both teams to score: no43%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals40%26%26%
Under 2.5 goals38%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%45%45%
X – draw19%25% · Elo 21%25%· Elo 21%
2 – Orgryte win16%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals16%27%27%
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1473defence1413+60 pts to the attack
Orgryte attack vs AIK defenceattack1397defence1551−154 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orgryte concede 2.2 goals per game
  • AIK: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Orgryte: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9AIK2396836:4033
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AIK vs Orgryte?

AIK 0-3 Orgryte (half time 0-2).

Did the AIK vs Orgryte tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.