AllsvenskanMatchday 16

Orgryte 3-4 AIK: prediction, tips and result

·

3-4Full time(half time 2-1)
Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Glenn Nyberg

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won58%

under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrgryte136136%28%Draw26%25%AIK151438%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%52%O2.558%46%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AIK0:3OrgryteW
  2. AIK3:0OrgryteL
  3. Orgryte0:1AIKL
  4. Orgryte0:0AIKD
  5. AIK2:1OrgryteL
Orgryte's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
RefereeG. Nyberg−0.8 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.5
Orgryte : AIK
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-07%1-29%0-0—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-17%0-110%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-18%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%72%72%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals65%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes61%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals58%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals42%54%54%
Both teams to score: no39%48%48%
2 – AIK win38%39% · Elo 47%39%· Elo 47%
1 – Orgryte win36%34% · Elo 28%34%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals35%25%25%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals19%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Orgryte attack vs AIK defenceattack1411defence1536−125 pts to the attack
AIK attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1461defence1425+36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orgryte concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Orgryte: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • AIK: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9AIK2396836:4033
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orgryte vs AIK?

Orgryte 3-4 AIK (half time 2-1).

Did the Orgryte vs AIK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.