AllsvenskanMatchday 17

Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK: prediction, tips and result

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Elfsborg
1-20-11-32-11-0
3-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Vasteras SK
1-00-62-00-02-0
Stadium:
Borås Arena, Boras
Referee:
Oscar Johnson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won57%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 3.5

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

    9.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 10.1; under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

  • Match Result: ElfsborgWon60%

    Elfsborg: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost38%

referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloElfsborg156660%49%Draw22%25%Vasteras SK149918%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%57%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Vasteras SK2:2ElfsborgD
  2. Elfsborg1:0Vasteras SKW
  3. Vasteras SK0:1ElfsborgW
  4. Elfsborg2:0Vasteras SKW
  5. Vasteras SK0:3ElfsborgW
Elfsborg's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.1under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.5over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 4
RefereeO. Johnson+1.8 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 2.9
Elfsborg : Vasteras SK
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-010%2-110%1-010%3-07%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-08%2-110%1-09%3-0—1-26%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-010%1-09%3-03-07%3-0—1-21-2—1-26%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals80%79%79%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals66%66%66%
1 – Elfsborg win60%52% · Elo 49%52%· Elo 49%
Over 2.5 goals56%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes54%57%57%
Both teams to score: no46%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals44%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals34%34%34%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals20%21%21%
2 – Vasteras SK win18%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
Elfsborg attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1500defence1411+89 pts to the attack
Vasteras SK attack vs Elfsborg defenceattack1456defence1483−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vasteras SK: newly promoted
  • Elfsborg: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Vasteras SK: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Elfsborg

Vasteras SK

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Elfsborg23117535:2240
7Vasteras SK23105834:3635
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK?

Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK (half time 1-0).

Did the Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.

See also